After a brief pause or correction in mid July, the stock market major indexes have moved back higher. My call for a rally in late June, whether it would be a short or medium term one, has turn out impressive. From my last post, I advised moving away from individual stocks to index ETFs as many individual stocks had performed outstandingly but could be targeted for profit-taking and corrections. As the chart for the Nasdaq exchange I have provided in this post shows, there are some signs of negative divergences. The 1st small chart shows the daily indicator of the New Highs minus the New Lows with the 5 day moving average (MA) lagging behind this week's highs made by the major indexes. The 2nd small chart shows the indicator of the 7 day moving average of the advancing stocks in the Nasdaq exchange struggling in the past week. Maybe in the coming weeks these two indicators will 'catch' up as the stock market continue to move higher thus negating the negative divergence in recent weeks. Or this could be hinting underlying weakness that will eventually take down the major indexes whether it will take a few more days or weeks before a big correction for the short term horizon. So for now, caution should be taken and have in place of sell stops if one still have long positions in play.
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